Wednesday 18 December 2019

The centre didn't hold

I was going to post this on facebook the day after election, but, you know, I've got few enough friends as is ...


In 2019, Corbyn’s got 1.6 million voters more than Gordon Brown in 2010 and 1 million more than Ed Miliband in 2015.

No, I won’t be talking about how great Corbyn is and how Labour should stick with him. That’s not my point.

Less than 19% of the people who could have voted for him chose Gordon Brown as PM in 2010. Less than 19%. How many of them were straightforward, hardline, Tories? Half, maybe?

So, look, the centrist (yes, I will use that word) fury at the failed Corbyn project really sticks pretty hard in the throat today.

Any vote which wasn’t for Labour in 2010 and 2015 was, explicitly, for this, this present we have right here. The Tories have done nothing unexpected or out-of-character since then. This is who they are. This was the inevitable consequence of all those self-indulgent “they’re all the same anyway” votes.

So you liked the way Nick Faceclegg looked down the camera with his sincere eyes and said someone’s name when they asked him a question? Cool, well done. You thought Ed Miliband spoke a bit funny? Cool, stay at home then.

I’m not a Corbynista. I didn’t register to vote for him in the 2015 leadership election, nor would I have done, if I had registered. To me Gordon Brown is the one great British politician of my lifetime, a highly intelligent, forceful, moral presence who (yes, I know he made some significant errors too) has a list of tangible positive achievements to his name that outstrips anyone else by a country mile. But did you vote for him, you 81%?

Labour moved to the left in 2015 because it felt it had to, not because it was a credulous cult.

The Labour centre had failed, in some places ethically, on a profound level, and then, over a significant period of time, electorally.

In 2010 and 2015, it put up talented, intelligent PM candidates from the centre-left who tried to appeal across the board and convinced nowhere near enough people

Corbyn became leader because he was the right/wrong person at the right/wrong time, not because everyone on the left lost their mind and fell in love with him. Yes, there are zealots and fools and antisemites amongst the 10+ million that voted for him in 2017 and 2019 but the vast majority are simply leftists, leftists who can see how screwed and grotesque the alternative is, and, while they attempted to register their protests along the way at some of the less palatable elements, in the end recognised that the electoral alternative was devastating.

What should Labour have done in 2015 after two crushing election defeats?

Begged Tony Blair to come back? Or David Miliband, the king over the sea? Do one.

So spare the outrage at “the Corbyn project”. If you cannot see that the main reason this has happened is that right-wing campaigners are able, with social media, to control the message more than ever before, then that’s your call. So VoteLeave and the Conservatives spend millions on sanctioned, provenly false, targeted ads to vulnerable voters, but, no, that’s not an important factor, is it? 88% false. Think about that. 88%. They wouldn’t be telling lies if it wasn’t the lies that work.

Yes, Corbyn was toxic on the doorstep … he can take his own share of the blame for that, but you think it’s patronising and out-of-touch to take Dominic Cummings at his word when he explained exactly how his targeted methodology of falsehood worked its magic?

With a historically hostile right-wing Murdoch-led media in uneasy alliance with a newly hostile centre-left media, of course Labour and its inexperienced outriders have got it badly wrong at times.

I will breathe a big sigh of relief when Corbyn is no longer leader. I pray someone will come in who can just say “Look, we messed up really badly on antisemitism, really badly. I realise that trust is gone and may never come back, but we’ll try”.

But stop bleating about the centre. The centre didn’t hold. It stopped holding a long time ago. The centre remains completely oblivious to the largest dangers facing us and will spend the next few years patting itself on the back despairingly about how right it’s been, while the world burns.

Oh yes, and Corbyn didn’t cause Brexit, that’s classic double-think bollocks. Half the people are now saying Labour’ve lost because they didn’t back remain soon enough, half because they ended up backing a second referendum.

Who cares what his personal feelings on the matter were? He campaigned for remain, Labour voters largely backed remain (did people somehow think if he suddenly starting saying how much he loved Juncker, the Labour remain vote would swing from 65 to 90%), his policy was to respect the result but block a hard Brexit, which he did, often in a pretty frustrating way, I do admit, but the virtue of that caution is being shown in abundance today. He eventually put a second referendum on the ballot. Seems about fair enough, but I’m sure I’m missing something …

Anyway, I can’t think of anything I could have written which would go down less well, I’m basically slagging off most of my friends and family! Woohoo, have a good day …

No comments:

Post a Comment